Traders Are Pricing a 12% Swing in Shopify Ahead of Earnings

Earnings season keeps the tape busy next week, and a Benzinga-selected watchlist is lining up across fast food, healthcare, energy, travel, semis and software. For retail investors, the options market can be a clean way to see where traders expect the biggest post-print volatility — and where the stakes are highest — according to Benzinga Pro.

The marquee name on this list, Shopify, also carries the biggest implied move, so it comes last as the countdown runs from the calmest setup to the most volatile.

9. McDonald’s | Mkt Cap: $187B | Implied Move: 4.28%

McDonald’s Corp. (NYSE:MCD) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Wednesday before the opening bell.

Wall Street is looking for $3.38 in earnings per share on $7.28 billion in revenue, up from $3.22 on $7.08 billion a year ago — a snapshot of how investors are weighing traffic, pricing and margins at one of the world’s largest restaurant systems.

Benzinga Pro data show options are pricing in a 4.28% move around the report, the smallest implied swing on this Benzinga-selected list — but still roughly $7.99 billion of market value at stake.

McDonald’s spans more than 45,000 restaurants across over 100 markets, so the quarter can turn on small changes in consumer demand and franchise economics. The stock carries a Buy consensus rating, and the stock is trading below the 180-day average analyst price forecast; in October, BTIG reiterated its Buy rating, while Citigroup reiterated its Buy rating and cut its price forecast.

McDonald’s has pulled back in 2026, down 15.1% year to date and trading 7.8% below the 200-day moving average. The shares sit about 24% below the 52-week high of $341.75.

8. Canadian Natural Resources | Mkt Cap: $115B | Implied Move: 4.34%

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Thursday before the opening bell.

Consensus estimates call for $1.05 in EPS on $8.29 billion in revenue, compared with 63 cents on $6.91 billion in the prior-year quarter — setting up an earnings check-in that’s tightly linked to commodity pricing and operating execution.

According to Benzinga Pro, the options market is implying a 4.34% move, putting about $4.99 billion of market value at stake for Canadian Natural Resources.

Canadian Natural Resources is a major Canadian producer — the country’s largest oil producer and second-largest natural gas producer — with operations spanning heavy oil, natural gas and bitumen. Analysts rate the stock a Buy, and the share price sits above the 180-day average analyst price forecast, a setup that can raise the sensitivity to any guidance shift.

Shares have rallied in 2026, up 60.5% year to date and trading 21.4% above the 200-day moving average. The stock is within 0.4% of the 52-week high of $55.49.

7. ConocoPhillips | Mkt Cap: $186B | Implied Move: 4.73%

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Thursday before the opening bell.

The Street is modeling $2.97 in EPS on $18.13 billion in revenue, up from $1.61 on $15.52 billion a year ago. With energy names often trading on both realized pricing and forward commentary, the report can quickly reset expectations.

Benzinga Pro data show options are pricing in a 4.73% move, which translates to about $8.79 billion of market cap in play for ConocoPhillips.

ConocoPhillips is a U.S.-based independent exploration and production company with operations in Alaska and the Lower 48 and additional footprints across Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and Africa. The stock has a Buy consensus rating, and the 180-day average analyst price forecast is above where the stock trades; in October, Susquehanna reiterated its Positive rating and raised its price forecast and Morgan Stanley reiterated its Overweight rating and raised its price forecast.

Shares have rallied in 2026, up 55.1% year to date and trading 25.9% above the 200-day moving average. The stock is within 0.2% of the 52-week high of $152.77.

6. CVS Health | Mkt Cap: $116B | Implied Move: 6.47%

CVS Health Corp. (NYSE:CVS) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Wednesday before the opening bell.

Consensus calls for $1.65 in EPS on $104.69 billion in revenue, versus $1.60 on $102.87 billion a year ago. For a healthcare platform with multiple moving pieces, investors often focus on how the company balances growth, costs and outlook across its businesses.

Options traders are pricing in a 6.47% move, according to Benzinga Pro, with about $7.51 billion of CVS Health’s market value at stake.

CVS Health runs a broad healthcare model rooted in retail pharmacy, including around 9,000 stores primarily in the U.S. The stock carries a Buy consensus rating, and shares trade well below the 180-day average analyst price forecast; in October, Leerink Partners reiterated its Outperform rating and cut its price target.

Shares have rallied in 2026, up 12.7% year to date and trading 2.8% above the 200-day moving average. The shares sit about 18% below the 52-week high of $110.68.

5. Uber | Mkt Cap: $134B | Implied Move: 6.77%

Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Wednesday before the opening bell.

Wall Street expects 97 cents in EPS on $14.71 billion in revenue, compared with 81 cents on $13.47 billion a year ago. The quarter can be a sentiment driver as investors look for signals on demand, take rates and profitability across the platform.

Benzinga Pro data show the options market is implying a 6.77% move, putting roughly $9.07 billion of market value at stake for Uber.

Uber Technologies connects riders with drivers, diners with restaurants and couriers, and shippers with carriers — a business mix that can make guidance as important as the headline numbers. Analysts rate the stock a Buy, and the stock is trading well below the 180-day average analyst price forecast; in October, Guggenheim, Cantor Fitzgerald and Citizens reiterated their ratings.

Uber has pulled back in 2026, down 20.7% year to date and trading 10.7% below the 200-day moving average. The stock is within 1.4% of the 52-week low of $64.69.

4. Qualcomm | Mkt Cap: $187B | Implied Move: 8.66%

Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ:QCOM) reports fourth quarter of 2026 results on Wednesday after the closing bell.

The consensus view is $2.16 in EPS on $10.12 billion in revenue, down from $3.00 on $11.27 billion a year ago. For chip names, the market often reacts as much to forward demand signals as it does to the quarter that just closed.

According to Benzinga Pro, options are pricing in an 8.66% move, with about $16.2 billion of Qualcomm’s market cap implied to be in play.

Qualcomm develops and licenses wireless technology and designs smartphone chips, with key patents tied to CDMA and OFDMA standards that underpin 3G, 4G and 5G networks. The stock has a Hold consensus rating, and the share price sits below the 180-day average analyst price forecast; in October, Susquehanna and TD Cowen raised their price forecasts.

Qualcomm has gained 7.2% year to date and trades 4.9% above the 200-day moving average, even after the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day in September. The shares sit about 32% below the 52-week high of $259.92.

3. Booking Holdings | Mkt Cap: $118B | Implied Move: 9.94%

Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:BKNG) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Tuesday after the closing bell.

Analysts are forecasting $4.50 in EPS on $9.55 billion in revenue, up from $3.98 on $9.01 billion a year ago. With travel demand and booking trends often shifting quickly, the report can be a key checkpoint for expectations into the next leg of the cycle.

Benzinga Pro data show options are implying a 9.94% move, putting about $11.8 billion of market value at stake for Booking Holdings.

Booking Holdings is a global online travel agency offering booking and payment services across hotels and alternative accommodations, airlines, rental cars, cruises, experiences and more. The stock carries a Buy consensus rating, and the 180-day average analyst price forecast sits well above where the stock trades; in October, BTIG reiterated its Buy rating, while Cantor Fitzgerald and Wells Fargo reiterated their ratings and cut their price forecasts.

Booking Holdings has pulled back in 2026, down 29.4% year to date and trading 13.8% below the 200-day moving average after the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day in October. The stock is within 4.4% of the 52-week low of $146.28.

2. Cloudflare | Mkt Cap: $107B | Implied Move: 12.07%

Cloudflare, Inc. (NYSE:NET) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Thursday after the closing bell.

The Street is looking for 34 cents in EPS on $737.95 million in revenue, versus 27 cents on $562.03 million a year ago. That growth profile keeps the focus on execution and forward demand for security and performance services.

According to Benzinga Pro, the options market is implying a 12.07% move, with roughly $12.9 billion of Cloudflare’s market value at stake.

Cloudflare sells security and web performance products built on a distributed, serverless content delivery network. Analysts rate the stock a Buy, and shares trade below the 180-day average analyst price forecast; in October, Bernstein, Wells Fargo and TD Cowen raised their price forecasts.

Shares have rallied in 2026, up 58.3% year to date and trading 21.6% above the 200-day moving average. The shares sit about 19% below the 52-week high of $370.35.

1. Shopify | Mkt Cap: $210B | Implied Move: 12.08%

Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) reports third quarter of 2026 results on Tuesday before the opening bell.

Consensus estimates call for 46 cents in EPS on $3.75 billion in revenue, up from 34 cents on $2.84 billion a year ago. With software and platform names, investors often key in on growth durability and the tone of guidance as much as the headline beat or miss.

Benzinga Pro data show options are pricing in a 12.08% move — the widest implied swing on this Benzinga-selected list — putting about $25.4 billion of market value at stake for Shopify.

Shopify provides an e-commerce platform primarily for small and medium-size businesses. The stock carries a Buy consensus rating, and the stock is trading below the 180-day average analyst price forecast; in October, Citigroup, Oppenheimer and RBC Capital raised their price forecasts.

Shopify stock is up 6.2% year to date and trades 25.7% above the 200-day moving average after the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day in August. The shares sit about 74% above the 52-week low of $94.

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