$QS. Yesterday’s PR to use my daughter’s generation’s term “gave me the ick!” I have been a buyer/contract negotiator for more than 30 years and have had to sift through decades of vendor’s pitches and you get to a point where you can “feel” when they are leading you on. Based on the Q3 ER and 11/11 symposium here’s how I “feel” about QS current circumstances:
It feels like PowerCo is pulling away from QS (whether it is QS fault or VW/PowerCo economics or automobile macroeconomics, who knows).
It feels like although QS has a great product initially in QSE-5 and are starting the pass through the valley of death for the move from lab to mass production, no one is interested in making the investment for mass production. In the Muehlbauer PR for the ER, although QS wants to build a 100 MWh production line, they glossed over who was going to pay for it. To date there is no disclosed funding. It feels like they truly can’t judge their ability to mass-produce these batteries until they hit one million pieces and their pilot line can’t be dedicated to that effort.
It feels like no auto manufacturer is interested in QS current format of cell and so, in a desperate attempt to show they can do sulfide batteries, we have yesterday’s PR. They seem to shoehorn some charging speed and battery life at low temps to make them look good, but everyone can see through the data. This tech could be years away (emphasis on could as the presented data isn’t that great.)
My expectation at this point would be that we would see PRs that are partner licensing as they approach mass production or vehicle of some sort with real-life data on performance.
I have sold half my shares this morning and took my loss. I will sell the remaining in 2027 so my losses offset other gains.
Good luck QS
