RITAX Trend Score American Funds American High-Inc R-1
Subscores
Why
Downtrend is moderate and smooth (R² 64%), drawdown shallow (-5.7%), volatility low (3%), 30% days above EMA, underperforming benchmark.
moderate low volatility shallow drawdown
Components
The measurements behind the score, over the selected lookback.
- Annualized slope
- -4.1%
- Smoothness (R²)
- 0.64
- Volatility
- 2.9%
- Max drawdown
- -5.7%
- MA alignment
- 30.05
- Relative strength
- -0.16
- Momentum
- -4.4%
- Beta
- 0.16
- Alpha
- -6.8%
- Sortino
- -1.13
- Calmar
- -0.72
- Information ratio
- -1.51
Trend Score Guide What the score measures, the seven weighted components and how to tune them
What is the Trend Score?
The Trend Score measures how steadily and strongly a stock is trending upward, from 0 to 1 (0 to 100 in the gauge). It is not just whether the stock went up — it rewards stocks that climb smoothly, consistently and with controlled risk.
Score quality bands
| Score | Rating | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| 80 – 100 | Excellent | Ideal steady uptrend |
| 65 – 79 | Good | Strong with minor imperfections |
| 50 – 64 | Moderate | Trending but noisy or slow |
| 35 – 49 | Weak | Questionable trend |
| 0 – 34 | Poor | No meaningful uptrend |
The seven scoring components
Each component is normalized to 0–100 and blended by weight (the default Balanced weights shown).
- Trend slope (30%) — the annualized return implied by a straight-line fit through log prices. A stock that steadily gains about 25% a year scores near 100; negative slopes score poorly.
- Smoothness / R² (15%) — how closely the price follows that line. An R² near 1 is a straight climb; around 0.3 is erratic. Think of it as “how reliable is this trend?”
- Relative strength (15%) — how much the stock outperformed the benchmark over the same period. Rising while the market is flat scores higher than rising with the tide.
- Trend alignment (15%) — the share of days the price closed above its moving average (EMA 50 by default), plus a bonus when the short, medium and long averages are stacked bullishly.
- Volatility (10%) — lower annualized volatility scores higher: about 15% scores near 100, 60% or more near 0.
- Max drawdown (10%) — the worst peak-to-trough decline. Under 5% scores 100; deeper than 40% scores near 0.
- Momentum (5%) — the simple return over the second half of the lookback window.
Reported, not scored
- Sortino ratio — return per unit of downside risk.
- Calmar ratio — annual return divided by the maximum drawdown (“return per unit of pain”).
- Information ratio — how consistently the stock outperformed the benchmark.
- Beta / alpha — sensitivity to the market and the excess return (CAPM).
- Confidence — how trustworthy the score is, from R², data length and sufficiency.
Backtest Timeline — what would the score have said?
The timeline rewinds the score to earlier dates — 1 week, 1 month, 3, 6 and 12 months ago — using only the prices available then. Compare a past score with what happened next: a stock that kept scoring 0.70 or more and then delivered strong returns is one whose score has been a reliable signal. The Backtest Insight under the timeline compares today's score with the oldest snapshot.
Customize for your risk tolerance
Choose a predefined strategy or Custom weights to change what matters:
| If you are… | Consider… |
|---|---|
| A low-risk, quality-focused investor | More weight on smoothness and drawdown |
| A growth or momentum trader | More weight on slope and momentum |
| Focused on beating the market | More weight on relative strength |
| Prioritizing stable, low-stress holds | More weight on volatility and drawdown |
- Lookback — how many trading days to analyze (252 = one year). Shorter focuses on recent momentum; longer on durable trend quality.
- Moving average type and period — EMA (default, more reactive) or SMA (smoother), and the period used for trend alignment.
- Benchmark — the index ETF for relative strength and the information ratio (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA).
- Blend multiple windows — scores 3-, 6- and 12-month windows and blends them for a steadier, timeframe-consistent signal.
Custom weights are relative; the engine normalizes them so they always add up to 100%.
Key takeaway
A high Trend Score does not just mean a stock went up. It means it went up steadily, smoothly, with shallow drawdowns and ideally better than the market. Use the Backtest Timeline to check the score has been a reliable predictor, and the settings to make it reflect your definition of a great trend.