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How Smart Money Is Positioning To Win In 2026

Gav Blaxberg 8 months ago

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The world's largest investors are making the same bet. If your portfolio still looks like it did in 2025, that's worth thinking about.

Hedge funds just revealed their Q4 portfolios. The world’s largest investors are making the same bet.

Fourteen of the world’s biggest hedge funds dropped their Q4 portfolio disclosures this week and the moves were… not subtle. SoftBank sold every share of Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) it owned. Buffett cut 77% of his Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) stake. Druckenmiller dumped 30+ positions in a single quarter.

JUST IN: Many famous investors including Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman and a bunch more just updated their portfolios

Here's what their portfolios looked like as of the end of 2025 … A Thread🧵⬇️

Warren Buffett 🐐:

(This is Warren Buffett's FINAL portfolio as the CEO of… pic.twitter.com/yojeYjZsus

— Evan (@StockMKTNewz) February 17, 2026

We’ll get into all of it.

THE RUNDOWN

13F FILINGS › It was one of the most active 13F cycles in recent memory. SoftBank exited its entire $6B Nvidia position and rotated into crypto (including $781M in a Bitcoin treasury company). Buffett slashed Amazon by 77% and opened a $352M New York Times stake nobody saw coming. Ackman opened $1.76B in Meta while Druckenmiller, Lone Pine, and Bridgewater were all selling it. Druckenmiller purged 30+ holdings and loaded up on financials (NYSE:XLF), Brazil (NYSE:EWZ), and equal-weight S&P (RSP). Tepper exited six regional banks in one shot. Full 13F breakdown on Rallies.

BREAKING: Berkshire Hathaway Q4 2025 13F: Slashed $AMZN by 77% (~$1.7B sold), trimmed $BAC by 50.8M shares (-9%), opened new $NYT position worth $352M.

Active quarter with continued selling of tech and bank holdings alongside selective additions to insurance, energy, and media.… pic.twitter.com/fWPN86xSsU

— WOLF (@WOLF_Financial) February 17, 2026
AI › Meta (NASDAQ:META) signed a deal to use millions of Nvidia chips in its data centers, including next-gen Vera Rubin systems and standalone CPUs. Nvidia (NVDA) rose ~2%. The semiconductor index gained 1.4%. Zuckerberg is calling it a step toward “personal superintelligence for everyone,” which is either exciting or terrifying depending on your risk tolerance.

BREAKING: Nvidia Corp Q4 2025 13F: Opened massive $INTC position worth $7.93B, new $SNPS ($2.26B), new $NOK ($1.08B), exited $ARM, $APLD, $RXRX, and $WRD entirely.

A dramatic reshuffling of Nvidia's strategic investment portfolio, with over $11B deployed into three new positions… pic.twitter.com/7Q7yeKjwZ0

— WOLF (@WOLF_Financial) February 17, 2026

FED › Minutes from the January meeting showed a more divided central bank than expected. Several officials floated possible rate hikes if inflation stays sticky. Markets still price 93% odds of a hold in March, and two to three cuts remain the base case for 2026. But the tone was noticeably hawkish.

COMMODITIES › Gold crossed $5,000/oz for the first time, up 2.2%. Bridgewater was apparently ahead of this: their Q4 filing showed they added 496% to Newmont (NYSE:NEM) , 306% to Barrick (NYSE:B), and 1,973% to Harmony Gold (NYSE:HMY). Oil jumped 4.6% to $65 after Vance said Iran hasn’t addressed U.S. concerns.

RAY DALIO AND BRIDGEWATER JUST UPDATED THEIR PORTFOLIO

They hold more than 1,000 stocks … here are their top 20 largest single stock holdings https://t.co/NWmHpGIj1H pic.twitter.com/M4TTcEuiGx

— Evan (@StockMKTNewz) February 16, 2026

THE PLAY: How the Biggest Investors Are Positioning to Win in 2026

The 13F filings this week told a pretty clear story, even if the individual moves seem contradictory. The biggest investors in the world are getting out of the trades that worked last year.

Druckenmiller dumped Meta, Bank of America, GE Vernova, and 20+ other names. Lone Pine sold its entire $971M Meta position. Bridgewater cut Meta by 52% and Uber by 70%. SoftBank liquidated every share of Nvidia. Even Buffett trimmed Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and gutted Amazon.

JUST IN

STANLEY DRUCKENMILLER AND DUQUESNE FAMILY OFFICE UPDATED THEIR PORTFOLIO

Here are the largest single stock holdings in Duquesne's portfolio as of the end of 2025

🥇 Natera $NTRA
🥈 $XLF
🥉 Insmed $INSM

Stanley Druckenmiller and Duquesne Family Office have 58 holdings… pic.twitter.com/HGfXPRLsDB

— Evan (@StockMKTNewz) February 17, 2026

So where did the money go?

Value and cyclicals. Druckenmiller’s new positions look like a bet on economic breadth: financials (NYSE:XLF), equal-weight S&P (NYSE:RSP), airlines (NYSE:DAL) (NASDAQ:UAL), and emerging markets (NYSE:EWZ), (NYSE:YPF). Tepper tripled Micron (NASDAQ:MU) and added American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL). These aren’t AI plays. They’re bets that the economy is broader than five stocks.

JUST IN: Appaloosa Q4 2025 13F: Tripled $MU to $428M (+200%), purged 9 positions including 6 regional banks, added $AAL +53% to $217M, opened new $EWY South Korea ETF ($182M).

data via @ralliesai

A massive portfolio overhaul from David Tepper with 9 full exits, 3 new… pic.twitter.com/H0F0Lfqaas

— WOLF (@WOLF_Financial) February 17, 2026

Hard assets. Bridgewater loaded gold miners. Gold just crossed $5,000. Oil is back above $65. With the Fed now openly discussing rate hikes if inflation doesn’t cool, the inflation hedge trade is getting real capital behind it again.

Contrarian conviction picks. Buffett bought the New York Times (NYSE:NYT) at $352M. Ackman went all-in on Meta ($1.76B) while three other major funds walked away. Nvidia itself bought $7.93B of Intel, which is the kind of move that makes you read the number twice. These are high-conviction, against-the-crowd positions.

None of this means you need to copy their exact trades. 13F filings are backward-looking, and some of these positions may already be different. But the direction matters: the biggest funds in the world are diversifying away from mega-cap tech concentration.

If your portfolio still looks like it did in 2025, that’s worth thinking about.

Thanks for reading! Catch you in the next one!

For more updates throughout the week, follow @WOLF_Financial on X.

Benzinga Disclaimer: This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga’s reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.

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