A Look Ahead: Golub Capital BDC's Earnings Forecast
Benzinga Insights 9 months ago
Earnings
Golub Capital BDC (NASDAQ:GBDC) is gearing up to announce its quarterly earnings on Wednesday, 2026-02-04. Here's a quick overview of what investors should know before the release.
Analysts are estimating that Golub Capital BDC will report an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.38.
The announcement from Golub Capital BDC is eagerly anticipated, with investors seeking news of surpassing estimates and favorable guidance for the next quarter.
It's worth noting for new investors that guidance can be a key determinant of stock price movements.
Earnings Track Record
Last quarter the company missed EPS by $0.00, which was followed by a 0.22% drop in the share price the next day.
Here's a look at Golub Capital BDC's past performance and the resulting price change:
| Quarter | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| EPS Actual | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| Price Change % | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 |
Golub Capital BDC Share Price Analysis
Shares of Golub Capital BDC were trading at $13.05 as of February 02. Over the last 52-week period, shares are down 16.75%. Given that these returns are generally negative, long-term shareholders are likely upset going into this earnings release.
Analyst Views on Golub Capital BDC
For investors, grasping market sentiments and expectations in the industry is vital. This analysis explores the latest insights regarding Golub Capital BDC.
Analysts have provided Golub Capital BDC with 2 ratings, resulting in a consensus rating of Outperform. The average one-year price target stands at $14.5, suggesting a potential 11.11% upside.
Analyzing Ratings Among Peers
The below comparison of the analyst ratings and average 1-year price targets of Federated Hermes, Patria Investments and WisdomTree, three prominent players in the industry, gives insights for their relative performance expectations and market positioning.
- Analysts currently favor an Neutral trajectory for Federated Hermes, with an average 1-year price target of $54.5, suggesting a potential 317.62% upside.
- Analysts currently favor an Buy trajectory for Patria Investments, with an average 1-year price target of $20.0, suggesting a potential 53.26% upside.
- Analysts currently favor an Neutral trajectory for WisdomTree, with an average 1-year price target of $16.3, suggesting a potential 24.9% upside.
Analysis Summary for Peers
The peer analysis summary offers a detailed examination of key metrics for Federated Hermes, Patria Investments and WisdomTree, providing valuable insights into their respective standings within the industry and their market positions and comparative performance.
| Company | Consensus | Revenue Growth | Gross Profit | Return on Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sprott | Neutral | 28.16% | $14.74M | 3.81% |
| Federated Hermes | Neutral | 2.85% | $324.88M | 8.98% |
| Patria Investments | Buy | 10.77% | $71.62M | 3.89% |
| WisdomTree | Neutral | 17.37% | $69.47M | 10.17% |
Key Takeaway:
Golub Capital BDC ranks in the middle for revenue growth among its peers. It is at the bottom for gross profit and return on equity.
Discovering Golub Capital BDC: A Closer Look
Golub Capital BDC Inc. is an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. Its investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation by investing in senior secured and one-stop loans in U.S. middle-market companies. It also invests in second-lien and subordinated loans, warrants, and minority equity securities in U.S. middle-market companies. The company generally invests in securities rated below investment grade by independent rating agencies, or those that would be rated below investment grade if evaluated. The company operates in the USA, Canada, and other countries, with the majority of its revenue coming from the USA.
Golub Capital BDC: Financial Performance Dissected
Market Capitalization Analysis: The company exhibits a lower market capitalization profile, positioning itself below industry averages. This suggests a smaller scale relative to peers.
Revenue Growth: Golub Capital BDC displayed positive results in 3 months. As of 30 September, 2025, the company achieved a solid revenue growth rate of approximately 10.73%. This indicates a notable increase in the company's top-line earnings. As compared to competitors, the company encountered difficulties, with a growth rate lower than the average among peers in the Financials sector.
Net Margin: Golub Capital BDC's net margin surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance. With an impressive 92.27% net margin, the company effectively manages costs and achieves strong profitability.
Return on Equity (ROE): The company's ROE is below industry benchmarks, signaling potential difficulties in efficiently using equity capital. With an ROE of 2.41%, the company may need to address challenges in generating satisfactory returns for shareholders.
Return on Assets (ROA): Golub Capital BDC's ROA is below industry standards, pointing towards difficulties in efficiently utilizing assets. With an ROA of 1.06%, the company may encounter challenges in delivering satisfactory returns from its assets.
Debt Management: Golub Capital BDC's debt-to-equity ratio is below industry norms, indicating a sound financial structure with a ratio of 1.23.
To track all earnings releases for Golub Capital BDC visit their earnings calendar on our site.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.